In a rapidly changing world
Environment and social issues are shaping how policy makers, consumers, and corporate executives behave.
Therefore, investors also have to understand how these issues impact economies and financial markets. 🙂
In today’s post I’ll explain what those changes are, and what I’m doing to position my finances accordingly.
As usual I don’t plan to sell any of my existing holdings. I just rebalance by adding new investments to my portfolio.
There are 2 primary themes impacting global markets right now.
The world is transitioning away from carbon to address climate change. This means that people will use less oil and more copper.
Copper is used to build the underlying infrastructure needed to operate electric vehicles, wind mills, solar panels, and electric charging stations.
In terms of social issues, income inequality and populism are at the top of what’s driving policy changes. Unfortunately both issues feed off one another and create greater problems. A rising disparity between the haves and have-nots puts pressure on governments and corporations to level the playing field. This often leads to hasty decisions that appear well intentioned in the moment, but often have long term negative consequences.
Giving more money to the poor helps them right now. But usually after some time that money gets transferred in one way or another into the hands of the wealthy where it remains in their control and earns them interest. Plus, the printing of extra money without the goods/services/productivity to soak it up creates inflation.
This hurts the financially vulnerable the most because they are the least likely to afford a cost of living increase. This exacerbates inequality even more. Populism and division set in. The mentality is us vs them. New misguided policies are put in place to address the problem. Too bad it’s just about appearances, not what people actually need. And the cycle continues, debasing the currency further, benefiting those who are properly hedged (mostly rich people.)
Where to go from here
Given that I’m conscious of those environmental and social issues, investing in hard commodities makes sense.
The valuations for commodity based stocks are cheap compared to technology stocks.
And it’s a good way to hedge against inflation.
The last 18 months proved that mere monetary stimulus isn’t enough to keep the economy going.
Fiscal policy must also be used.
Infrastructure projects are a popular use of government spending. As more cash is created, base metals such as copper and nickel as well as iron ore will be in high demand.
This is why I have written a put option on Rio Tinto (NYSE:RIO), one of the world’s largest mining companies.
My put has a strike price of $55. The stock is trading at $61/share today.
Additionally I have recently bought some Copper Mountain Mining stock (CMMC) as well as Ivanhoe Mines (IVN). Both are on the TSX.
Copper Mountain primarily produces copper and gold in Canadian mines. The stock has fallen from its highs earlier this year, and insiders have been buying on the way down. That’s usually a good sign that the executives running the company are confident in its future growth. 🙂
Out of 10 analysts the lowest expected 12 month price target is $4.25/share. That’s a 15% positive return from today’s price of $3.70/share. And Morningstar’s research report calculates the fair value of the stock should be at $6.02/share today. CMMC’s 5 year average P/E ratio is 12. But it’s currently trading at only 10.
So overall this is not an expensive company to buy at the moment. 🙂 #valueinvesting
And of course it does have growing revenue and earnings over time.
However, it doesn’t have the consistent growth I usually like to see like from a BlackRock or National Bank.
Ivanhoe is more of a speculative pick. My biggest concern is the geopolitical risk in South Africa.
But it can really take off if the price of copper continues to climb.
Who knows? Sometimes it pays to take a risk, right? 🙂
Buying a new cryptocurrency
Speaking of speculation. I recently bought 1.2 million Floki Inu coins.
This is a YOLO trade. I don’t expect to make any money from it. However, there is a tiny chance it will 10 x over the next year or so, lol.
Named after Elon Musk’s new puppy, Floki has a lot of potential to gain popularity. Plus, it’s really cute. 🙂
Floki has arrived pic.twitter.com/2MiUKb91FT
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 12, 2021
This isn’t just another meme coin… it’s a movement. At least that’s how they’ve marketed this thing, haha.
#FLOKI is my way to participate in the Web 3.0 space which is just starting to take off.
I’m also continuing to invest in the Ethereum network and Binance (BNB.)
You can buy Cryptocurrencies in Canada using Shakepay which I’ve written about here.
As usual, do your own diligence before making any investment decisions. I’m not an expert when it comes to picking out mining stocks or digital tokens. There are probably better alternatives to Copper Mountain, Ivanhoe, and Floki Inu out there. I’m just sharing what I’m doing personally, and the reasons behind my choices. 🙂
Asset allocation update
All the recent purchases are part of a larger investment plan to grow my net worth over time.
Here’s an update of my current asset allocation. This pie chart does not include my primary residence.
For a deep dive into my portfolio, you can watch my latest video here, where I describe each asset class in detail.
I also share the lessons learned building up this $1.8 million portfolio. 🙂
______________________________________
Random Useless Fact:
Hello, I have followed you blog for many years. I’m going to disagree on this one. IMHO ESG investing (you can substitute “Stakeholder investing” with ESG investing, they are one and the same) is the equivalent of inserting a woke HR person into every corporation. As time goes on they create policies and hire others in their own image and beliefs. Then sooner or later you get a revolt within the company based on divisive complaints that have no place in a companies growth, greatly reducing efficiency and sometimes worse, the demise of the company with frivolous litigation etc . You only have to look at the origins of ESG investing, and who wrote its policies and who enforces them to understand why. The nature of that type of investing by its own design, will lead to the watering down of the individual investors returns. After all, the company will have be to be more responsible to its workers and the environment and “made up” ever increasing social polices (both with ever increasing demands and costs) at the expense of investors (shareholders).So as an investor, if you see your returns diminish over the long term. So why bother investing in… Read more »
Great commentary, Paul. The world is moving quickly, and those who don’t change and adapt get left behind. The people who thought inflation was transitory are feeling the consequences of their misplaced beliefs now.
I’m searching for where the best investments will be in 2030. I put some money into copper mining companies. But I’m sure there are other (probably better) alternatives that I’m not considering.😅
It’s really nice to get your thoughts.
And it’s been awhile. Hope you’re doing well.🙂
Always learning from you! I am going to look into those mining companies.
Sorry your $FLOKI isn’t doing well. Guess Mr. Musk lost his influence, eh? But who knows. Can make you a billionaire in no time.
It’s crazy how volatile these smaller coins can be. One day it’s up 10% the, next it’s down 20%, lol. It’s important to only buy what you can afford to lose. I’m more confident about mining stocks though. 🙂
Hi Liquid, can you put down step by step guide to buy FOLKI? I did downloaded BNB trust wallet but unsure where and how to buy FOLKI. Thanks so much
Hey Tony. Maybe I’ll write a post with step by step details in the future.
Keep in mind my FLOKI coins are down like 37% since I bought them so please be careful and only speculate what you are willing to lose 100% of, lol. For me that’s a few hundred dollars, but it could be less or more for you.
Basically the way I bought it is opening up a Binance.com account. I then purchased BNB with my Visa debit online. Next I transferred the BNB to my Trust Wallet on my phone. Then converted BNB to Smart Chain using the Trust Wallet app. Then I used pancake swap to buy FLOKI. You can see how to do that here.
It’s not the easiest thing to do, lol. But once you understand how this process works you’ll know how to purchase all sorts of other alt coins in the crypto universe. 🙂
Hello,
I love your blog. Thanks so much for taking the time to post. Wondering what your thoughts on lithium are? I agree that precious metals may be a smart long-term strategy.
Thanks again!
I’m bullish on both lithium and uranium. But I think these are long term 10+ year plays. Do you have any lithium stocks you like? 🙂
Do you have any plans on investing in ETFs with high ESG score or renewable energy stocks or anything that aids the environment in the long run?
I’ve been thinking about buying Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSE:AQN)
I will probably pick up a few hundred shares if it drops below $17/share. 🙂
Other than that, I don’t know where to look for good ESG companies or funds. There seems to be a lot of green washing. What I’m mostly doing now is investing in secondary impact opportunities, such as buying the mining companies that should benefit as the world moves towards more environmentally sustainable options which requires more metals.
Hi Liquid,
I saw your comment where you mentioned about wallets. How do I choose a wallet and what options are available ? Is it a regular USB drive or is it specialized one or any specific brands I should look at? When I read articles about crypto investing I see most experts recommending having an offline wallet. So Im wondering if I need to invest in one.
Hi Sridhar, choosing a wallet will depend on how much you’re planning to store in it. If it’s less than a few thousand dollars an offline software wallet should be good enough. This can be a program you download to your computer. A popular wallet is Exodus for windows/mac desktop. I know many people who use it. Another way is to download a wallet on your smart phone. I currently use Trust Wallet, which I have on my android device. A wallet is just a place to store your private keys that proves you own those bitcoins or any other cryptocurrencies you have. 🙂 But if someone steals your computer, or you lose your phone, then your wallet and everything in it will be gone (unless you have the seed phrase safely stored somewhere else.) So a way to prevent hacking or losing your phone/computer is to use a hardware wallet. This looks like a USB dongle and can’t be hacked into if it’s not plugged into a device that has internet access. If you have over $5,000 of crypto it would be a good idea to keep it in a hardware wallet, and store it in a safety deposit… Read more »
[…] also have roughly $150 worth of Floki Inu, which has not done very well since I bought it […]